“The recently presented armistice plan from the French President Emanel Macron has the right and rational ideas. However, in general, the likelihood of its implementation is not high. This opinion was expressed by the political scientist, the head of the Center for Applied Political Studies “Penta” Vladimir Fesenko in a comment to UA.news. According to the expert, it is not necessary to perceive Macron’s plan as a single and coordinated position of Europe. It is rather”, – Write On: ua.news
The recently presented armistice plan from the French President Emanel Macron has the right and rational ideas. However, in general, the likelihood of its implementation is not high.
This opinion was expressed by the political scientist, the head of the Center for Applied Political Studies “Penta” Vladimir Fesenko in a comment to UA.news.
According to the expert, it is not necessary to perceive Macron’s plan as a single and coordinated position of Europe. Rather, the personal idea of the President of France.
“Zelensky in his post in X, which is perceived as an attempt to reconcile with Trump, wrote about the same plan: a partial truce calling for the Russians to take some steps. This is an indicative moment. Ukraine also joins this game. And another important circumstance: Macron’s idea was not supported by most of the participants of the summit in London. The older said that “other options and ideas were considered.”
That is, it should not be seen as a single position in Europe. This is Macron’s individual idea. In a practical sense, I perceive it with great skepticism. The point is to demonstrate readiness to participate in peace negotiations and to offer a preliminary intermediate plan of preparation of the transition for ceasefire. It is Trump’s playing, which also stands for ceasefire, ”the expert explains.
Fesenko points to obvious contradictions. According to him, Trump wants a ceasefire, but Russia does not want it, and this is a problem.
“We have some illusion, a stupid myth that Putin wants a ceasefire. No, doesn’t want! He wants peace talks directly during the war and signing a peace agreement. But not a ceasefire! That’s what Putin wants. And what Americans offer, in my opinion, he is in our interests. This is a ceasefire without much concessions from Ukraine. This should be used.
But ceasefire on land requires a clear line of contact. Which line to stop the fire? There is no answer… and so Macron suggested as a transitional step of ceasefire in the air, at sea and regarding blows on energy. Therefore, the idea is beautiful. But it is also necessary to negotiate. Because it is impossible to stop the fire unilaterally, it is surrender. It is possible only by both parties, and this should still be agreed, ”Fesenko notes.
The political scientist says Macron proposes such negotiations for tactical reasons. He wants to check that Russia is ready to stop the fire, and what is the point of its supply.
“From the point of view of the strategic end of the war, this is not enough. But in terms of Russian verification, this idea is normal. Plus this tactical technique: start negotiations with the US and demonstrate the readiness of Ukraine and Europe. And then you need to sit at the table with Russia. But how to do it all how to control the ceasefire in the air? I’m talking about drones. There are no mechanisms for controlling them. But you have to negotiate, it is inevitable … So there is a certain meaning in Macron’s ideas. But this is a tactical technique and nothing more, ”Vladimir Fesenko summarized.
Earlier it became known that Macron is ready to come to the White House again with Zelensky to talk with Trump.
