“According to the estimates of the monitoring project DeepState, at last year’s rate of advance of the Russian army in Donetsk region, it will take at least two years for the enemy to completely capture the Donetsk region.”, — write: www.pravda.com.ua
Slavyansk and Kramatorsk on the DeepState map. screenshot Source: co-founders Ruslan Mykula and Roman Pohorily at a special session of the Kyiv Security Forum, quoted by “Ukrinform”
Direct speech Nicholas: “78% of Donetsk region is currently occupied by the enemy. How quickly can the Russians occupy the Donetsk region? It is worth noting that before the full-scale invasion, the Russians controlled 32.3% of the territory of the region. In 2022, the enemy captured another 24.4% of the region. From 2023 to now – 21.8%. Currently, 21.5% of the region remains under the control of the Armed Forces. to take the pace of 2025, because it is indicative, then the enemy will need at least 742 days or about 2 years to occupy the Donetsk region completely.”
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Pohorily’s direct speech: “Some predicted that Pokrovsk would fall before the New Year. However, today we see that the northern outskirts of both cities – Pokrovsk and Mirnograd – remain in battle under the control of the Defense Forces.”
Details: According to Pohorily, the Russians are currently deploying the largest amount of their resources in this region — “a group of over 100,000 that cannot cope with these cities and the Defense Forces of Ukraine.”
“If we talk about the further development of events, then when the relevant settlements fall, and they (Russian troops – ed.) sooner or later capture them, since the Russians have a significant potential for this, they will move deep into the Donetsk region,” – noted the co-founder of DeepState.
He added that the enemy’s goal will then be Ukrainian logistics, in order to prevent them from advancing to the next cities, where the main battle for the Donetsk region will take place. According to analysts, this battle will take place in Sloviansk and Kramatorsk.
At the same time, the speakers emphasized that the Russians are currently probing Ukrainian defenses: “attempts are already underway, during which they identify our weak points.”
“We predict at least two years of fighting, during which they will lose a colossal amount of personnel, equipment and other resources,” experts summarized.