There is a threat to Zaporizhzhia in the spring and summer: military expert Oleg Zhdanov

The Russians have already determined the direction of the main strike.

This is Zaporozhye. They are already moving there, and in the future they plan to storm Zaporizhzhia.

We look at absolute numbers and statistics, but we need to look deeper. For example, the Pokrovsky direction is huge, it is a quarter of the entire front line. And there will always be the largest number of assaults and attacks on our positions. But if you take a kilometer of the front, then this is Gulyaipole. This is the main direction today.

For more than a month, the Russian Air Force has been concentrating its main forces there. Troops are already being drawn up there. The forces were partially withdrawn from the Kherson and Dnipro directions, they were also withdrawn from Pokrovsky and Oleksandrovsky. And all this extends to Gulyaipole.

That is, the summer campaign is the Zaporizhzhia region. And perhaps they will even try to force the Dnieper in order to take the right-bank part of Zaporizhzhia and, if successful, Kherson regions.

There is a threat to Zaporizhzhia. But theoretical. The question of the stability of our defense. If we withstand the pressure, everything will be fine. If they break through, they will have to fight for the regional center itself.

The problem is that long-range systems of the Russian Federation already reach Zaporizhzhia. If the Russians cross the Konka River in the Stepnohirsk or Primorsk region, field artillery will reach Zaporizhzhia. It will be the same as it was with Kharkiv in 2022. So the threat is real, and we need to pay attention to it now.

Oleg Zhdanov

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