“The direction “Slovyansk-Kramatorsk” looks more than obvious. The Russians need to press this direction in order to occupy this largest fortified area. And then, at least formally, they will be able to talk about the fact that the goals of the “SVO” have been fulfilled, because they have occupied Donbas, the entire Donetsk region. This will allow the same Putin to at least somehow sell the war to his society in the event of a freeze, on”, — write on: ua.news
The direction “Slovyansk-Kramatorsk” looks more than obvious.
The Russians need to press this direction in order to occupy this largest fortified area. And then, at least formally, they will be able to talk about the fact that the goals of the “SVO” have been fulfilled, because they have occupied Donbas, the entire Donetsk region.
This will allow the same Putin to at least somehow sell the war to his society in the event of a freeze, which the Americans insist on. Because if we freeze now, then their whole narrative that “all the objectives of the SVO will be fulfilled” will fall apart – and they keep saying this, as well as that everything is going according to plan. Well, even complete morons have a question: if everything is going according to plan, why didn’t they squeeze a piece of the so-called “DPR-LPR”?
That is, this direction looks obvious, intuitive, for this you do not need to be a military specialist to understand that if they have any plans there, they try to think two steps, two heads higher and more cunning – they can expect that Ukraine will concentrate all its forces there. So they will strike in a different direction — for example, in Zaporizhzhia. Although we have not always seen such ingenuity on the part of the Russians. Often they do everything “head on”. But from the point of view of military strategy, it is extremely logical and extremely consistent.
That is, if there is some area and it is clear that there is a political goal and the will to occupy it, it is clear that then there will be large enemy forces in this area. However, then Ukraine will have fewer forces in other areas, and it is precisely on these that you can try to implement your offensive.
Therefore, it intuitively seems that the key direction of the new campaign will be Sloviansk-Kramatorsk, but if we look in the direction of a more subtle, intelligent strategy, then the Zaporizhia direction may well be real and dangerous. There are, of course, other scenarios, but there are only two key ones: the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration and Zaporizhzhia.
Yihal Levin
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