Carlos Alcaraz – Lorenzo Musetti. Prediction and announcement for the ATP Finals 2025 match

On November 13, at the Final Tournament in Turin, the match of the third round of the group round will be played by Carlos Alcaraz (ATP 1) and Lorenzo Musetti (ATP 9).

The match will start at 21:30 Kyiv time.

Sport.ua together with betting announces the upcoming match!

Carlos Alcaraz

The world number one is going without a miss so far in this tournament, although it feels like he is playing against high-level opponents. In the first match, Alcaraz managed to beat the Australian Alex De Minaur in two sets – 7:6, 6:2. It was more difficult against Taylor Fritz, where Carlitos won in three sets – 6:7, 7:5, 6:3.

This tournament will be successful for the Spaniard only if he wins it. Although the athlete is leading in his quartet, the ticket to the semi-finals is not yet guaranteed. Alcaraz needs to win at least one game to advance to the next round.

Lorenzo Musetti

The Italian got to the final tournament at home with a share of luck, because he is playing here because of Djokovic’s refusal, although the reserve status must be earned. Musetti made his debut in a match against the American Taylor Fritz, to whom he lost 3:6, 4:6.

Given the result of the first match, there was no right to misfire against De Minaur. The Italian took the first game 7:5, lost the second 3:6, everything was decided in the third set, where Lorenzo made a powerful comeback, trailing 3:5, he won four games in a row, which allowed to celebrate the victory. The chances against the leader of the world ranking are not high, you have to try to win, not thinking about the tournament schedules, but preferably win in two games.

Personal meetings

In face-to-face confrontations, Alcaraz dominates, leading with a score of 7:1. It is noteworthy that 6 out of 8 matches were played on clay, only twice on hard courts, both matches were won by the Spaniard. The athletes met three times this year: the final of Monte Carlo, the semi-final in Rome, as well as the semi-final of Roland Garros, in all cases Musetti lost.

Forecast

Of course, Alcaraz is the undisputed favorite of this pair, besides, the Spaniard still has tournament motivation. Psychologically, it should be easier for Musetti, the expectations from him are not high, given the status of a debutant, while the athlete will surely have a lot of support.

I think the Italian is able to put up a decent resistance, the bet total over 19.5 games at 1.61 looks passable.