“Against the background of negotiations on security guarantees for Ukraine, which are ready to provide Western allies, the manifestations of hybrid war on the part of the Russian Federation have intensified. The incidents with the muffling of government aircraft and other extraordinary events were not reported daily. About the scale of the influence of the Russian Federation on the EU aviation connection, as well as explanation of military expert Dmitry Snegirev, what will be the response of the West and”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
Against the background of negotiations on security guarantees for Ukraine, which are ready to provide Western allies, the manifestations of hybrid war on the part of the Russian Federation have intensified. The incidents with the muffling of government aircraft and other extraordinary events were not reported daily.
About the scale of the influence of the Russian Federation on the EU aviation connection, as well as the explanation of the military expert Dmitry Snegirev, what will be the response of the West and why the incidents with aircraft of European leaders – only one of the elements of multi -vector information psychological operations of the Russian Federation – in UA.News.
Incidents with European leaders aircraft
August 31 a plane in which the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Lyen Forced Landed at Plovdiv Airport in Bulgaria. The reason was the failure of the GPS system. As the Bulgarian aircraft explained, the entire airport zone was left without satellite signal. The pilot circled over the city for more than an hour and landed the aircraft by hand using paper cards.
The incident happened when European leaders prepared a 19th package of sanctions against Moscow and discussed security guarantees for Ukraine. At that time, the head of the European Commission Ursula von Der Lyen was in a four-day round of EU member states bordering on Russia. According to her spokeswoman, she “saw with her own eyes daily challenges and threats from Russia and her proxy.”
Bulgaria’s power at first confirmed The fact of external intervention in the GPS network and expressed suspicion that Moscow is behind it. But a few days later, the statements about the direct intervention of the Russian Federation were softened by calling the incident a ordinary mistake, which is associated with the broader consequences of the war in Ukraine.
On September 3, Spartan with Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseas on board could not land at the Vilnius Airport for some time because an unknown drone was discovered in the sky. According to the Flightradar24 platform, which in real time tracks aircraft around the world, the presidential board flew from Helsinki at 19:10, began to circle over Vilnius and landed at 21:17. At this time, they activated safety procedures and temporarily suspended flights.
September 4 Technical problems happened On the aircraft, which was located in Spain Pedro Sanchez, because of which he could not personally come to the summit of “coalitions of those” in Paris. The premiere aircraft flew out of the Madrid Air Base and was already in the air when the crew had to return to the capital of Spain. As a result, Sanchez joined the event in an online format. The specific causes of the aircraft malfunction are not disclosed.
The other day the power of Italy stated Considering the secret of state flights, restricting the publication of data on the website of the Prime Minister’s office and blocking the display of routes on specialized tracking services.
The idea was first suggested by the Italian Defense Minister Guido Krozetto a few months ago, when navigation intervention began to occur more and more often near the Russian airspace.
The scale of locking of air travel
First of all, the Russian Federation was silenced by military transport aircraft of Western allies of Ukraine. Thus, in the first four months of 2024, the Russians blocked GPS on every fourth flight of the royal military-air forces of Great Britain. The case of the Russian Federation drowned the satellite signal of the aircraft, in which the British Minister of Defense flew. The board returned from Poland and was blocked for almost half an hour when he flew near the Kaliningrad region of the Russian Federation.
Numerous facts of muffling and replacement of GPS signal in civilian transportation were paid attention in the Baltic States and Northern Europe, which is adjacent to Russia and Belarus. For example, in Estonia, 85% of all flights occur against the backdrop of GPS signal obstacles. Lithuania recorded almost four times the number of such incidents against last year. In the end, three Baltic countries and Finland have appealed to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) with a complaint against radioalogation.
The Baltic and Northern Europe intelligence services believe that Russia is using GPS infrastructure, located in Kaliningrad and between the Estonian city of Narva and the Russian St. Petersburg.
On September 1, the European Commissioner for Defense Andrews Kubilus stated that the EU will launch additional satellites in low Earth orbit. In this way, Europeans expect to achieve resistance to GPS obstacles.
By data The International Institute for Strategic Studies, which has studied the scale of Russian sabotages throughout Europe, transport networks are the most vulnerable and main goals for sabotage, given their decisive role in NATO military logistics.
Russia’s blocking, especially aviation, is gaining new importance after 26 European countries have agreed to send either a contingent to Ukraine, or to make a means of military support for this coalition to guarantee safety in the sea or in the sky.
The Russian Federation goes to artificial exacerbation of the situation – an expert explanation
Dmitry Snegirev, military observer
“Note that this exacerbation occurs in parallel with the beginning of military exercises in the territory of Belarus” West-2025 “. Where the legend is to develop a direct invasion of NATO countries. It is the realization of the so -called Suvoral corridor.
I will remind the words of the head of the General Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense Budanov that it is during the exercise that there will be a number of provocations for military-political information pressure, first of all, on the countries of the event, Poland and the Baltic countries. “
According to the military observer, the Russian Federation exerts pressure on the Western countries, trying to achieve several goals at once.
“They make it clear that they do not actually offer the Russian Federation’s invasion of NATO (Poland and Baltic countries) in exchange for pressure on the Ukrainian political leading leadership for territorial concessions.
That is, initially proposed to exchange the territories of Kharkiv, Sumy region in exchange for the Donetsk region – did not work. Now they went to the escalation of tension directly against NATO countries. “
Dmitry Snegirev also draws attention to other Russian provocations to inject military hysteria on the borders with NATO countries, especially new members of the Alliance.
“Construction of military bases near borders with Finland, is Kandaksha and Petrozavodsk. Plus, territorial claims to Sweden to Gotland Island. It is key in the Baltic Sea, and control over it provides wil mode navigation. Accordingly, if the Russians try to resolve the issue of military means, it will testify to their efforts to take control of the Baltic Sea. “
The military observer notes that Russian provocations should be considered in a wider version, not just cases of muffling navigation, although they are also demonstrative.
“The choice of boards is not accidental. They make it clear that the presence of high -ranking officials is not a warning for the Russian side. That is, they seem to be ready for extreme measures at the moment of military pressure on the countries of the West. “
Snegirev emphasizes that the event’s response to such incidents is not weak. This is a completely false statement that the Russians promote to create an atmosphere of instability in Western countries.
“The Russians promote two theses. The first is the unwillingness of the population to protect their own states. The second is the unwillingness of the West countries to apply the fifth article of the NATO Statute to collective security. First of all, this applies to the Baltic countries.
At the same time, they promote the thesis about possible territorial concessions by NATO countries at the moment of occupation of the Baltic countries. That is, the silence of signals is only one of the elements of multi -vector information psychological operations of the Russian side. “
According to Dmitry Snegirev, Russia, trying to destabilize the situation in the territory of NATO countries through direct acts of sabotage and destabilization at the expense of pro -Russian political parties, will receive a rigid and adequate response of the event.
“The first, let’s remember the actions of the United States. For the first time since 2008, the nuclear arsenal has been returned to the UK. Second, NATO countries have completely changed the concept of counteracting the possible Russian aggression. If previously referred to the so -called restraint, it took a certain period of time to deploy a NATO military contingent and the possibility of occupying certain territories was allowed. Now the emphasis is on the direct factor of reflection of possible military aggression. That is, no meters are given to the Russian invaders.
Plus – the deployment of additional military contingents in Estonia, Lithuania and joint military exercises, both marine and land components. “
A military expert also points to Poland’s considerable militaristic efforts – this is the only NATO country that consumes approximately 4% of GDP for defense needs.
“There is a serious modernization of the Polish troops, the strengthening of the nature of engineering and forming works at the borders with Belarus. In the Baltic countries, the same. Note that the Baltic countries and Poland have stated the exit from the Ottov Convention on the distribution and use of anti -personnel mines. Moreover, there are processes for mining possible areas of breakthrough of Russian invaders.
It is worth talking not only about military exercises in the Baltic countries or Poland. It is also about relocation of air defense systems to possible areas of confrontation with the Russian side in Romania, Poland and the Baltic countries. A single air defense system is created to counteract the Russian Federation. These territories are also overturned. “
An important element of the event’s response is the United States initiative and European partners to transfer weapons to Ukraine, in particular with the possibility of strikes in the Russian Federation, Snegirev said.
“It is about 3300 American rockets of Eram. As well as the decision of Europe to transfer Storm Shadow missiles, scalp. Therefore, it is not necessary to put on the sentiment of the Russian side that there is no adequate response from the Western countries. The event’s response is more than adequate. “
The last decision on the results of the meeting of the “coalitions of decisive” in Paris about military and technical cooperation with Ukraine is also indicative, Dmitry Snegirev said.
“Modernization of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, deployment of weapons production, air defense systems, means of damage directly in the territory of Ukraine. There is a complex nature. Plus military-technical and macroeconomic support. This is indicative. And there are already certain results.
Denmark has announced the transfer of six Patriots to the Ukrainian side by 8.5 billion euros. Germany has increased military and technical assistance from 4 to 9 billion similar statements from Norway and a number of other countries.
This testifies to the collective understanding of the problems facing the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And also that the event really understands the challenges that will occur in the event of intensification of hostilities or their possible transfer directly to the territory of European countries. “
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