“We approach Alaska negotiations, taking into account three trends, which are in parallel and affect our position during negotiations. The first trend is a serious social request for the end of the war. Both Gallup, KIIS, and other companies show that 60 to 80% of Ukrainians seek end of war. But this request actually comes down to a requirement”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
We approach Alaska negotiations, taking into account three trends, which are in parallel and affect our position during negotiations.
The first trend is a serious social request for the end of the war. Both Gallup, KIIS, and other companies show that 60 to 80% of Ukrainians seek end of war. But this request is actually reduced to the requirement of termination of hostilities. After all, compromises and agreements with Moscow are only about 30%, with some surveys 50% – this is not a stable majority. And this request for termination of hostilities cannot be ignored by the authorities. That is why she talks about decisive steps, that in the near future there is a chance to end the war, etc.
Secondly, we come to these negotiations in a situation where the balance of power within the country has changed. When the influence of Europe increased, the influence of G7 after the unsuccessful attack of the Ukrainian government on the anti -corruption authorities, which leads to a certain restriction of the presidential vertical. This dependence will also significantly affect the negotiations.
And the third trend – all this happens against the background of continuation of intense fighting. Although Russia apparently deliberately stopped struck deep into the Ukrainian territory, in Kiev and so on. However, in a number of directions, it continues to step, and we are slowly retreating. This indentation, this loss of territory or local breakthroughs, as it happened under Dobropillya, is also the background with which we come to the negotiations.
Ukrainian society is not ready to surrender, but at the same time it has already lost faith in its future, confidence in this future. The Ukrainian authorities do not know how to get out of the situation with less losses, and gradually loses its influence and dominant role within the Ukrainian political system. The war further develops according to its laws and by slow, not critical, but still not a favorable trend for Ukraine.
Ruslan Bortnik