August 12, 2025
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Bitcoin $ 115k Bets in Demand As Downside Fear Grips Market Ahead of US CPI Report

A Higher-Qan-Expected CPI Could Dampen Fed Rate Cuts Bets and Weight on Risk Assets, Including Bitcoin.”, – WRITE: www.coindesk.com

A Higher-Qan-Expected CPI Could Dampen Fed Rate Cuts Bets and Weight on Risk Assets, Including Bitcoin.Updated Aug 12, 2025, 5:51 AM PUBLISHED AUG 12, 2025, 5:49 AM

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Traders Are Sectioning Downside Protection Ahead of the Us Inflation Data, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO SHOW President Donald Trump’s Trade Tariffs Are Starting to Affect Consumer Prices.

The Report, Due at 12:30 UTC, is Expectioned to Show That Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increased 2.8% Year-on-Year in July, Up from A 2.7% Rise in June

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On a monthly basis, prices are Forecast to increase 0.2%, A SLIGHT DECLINE FROM JULY’S 0.3%. The Core CPI, WHICH Excludes the Volatile Food and Energy Component, Is Likely to Have Risen 0.3% in July Following A 0.2% Rise in June.

Accorness to Analysts, A Hotter-Qan-Exectored CPI Could Dampen Fed Rate Cuts, Potentally Weighting on Risk Assets, Including BTC.

‘The Market’s Immediate Focus is on Tuesday’s US CPI Print, with The Market Expecting A Modest Uptick to 2.8% Yoy. A Softer Reading would Likely Cement A September Rate Cut by the Federal Reserve, A Positive for Risk Assets. Conversely, A Hotter Print Could Stall the Rally, Triggering Tactical Profit-Taking Across Risk Assets, “Timothy Misir, Head of Research at Brn, Told Coindesk in An Email.

Some Traders Are Already Positioning for a Hotter Print and Potential Losses in BTC. Accorging to Singapore-Based QCP Capital, The Precactionary Flow is Evident from the Increase in Demand for Short-Dated Put Options. A Put Option Protects The Buyer From Price Losses in the Underlying Asset.

“In anticipation, some traders are Hedging Event Risk, with Front-End $ 115,000– $ 118,000 BTC Puts Seeing Increated Demand to Protect Against a Downside Surprise,“ QCP CAPITSE Monday. “This Defensive Positioning Sits Alongside Short-Call Covering from Topside Buyers.”

The Covering of the Short Call Positions Indicates that Traders Also Remain Wary of Topside Risk. BTC Changed Hands at $ 118.525 at Press Time.

Read More: Bitcoin Traders Eye $ 135k, Ether $ 4.8k in Crosshairs As CPI Data Looms

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a co-managing Editor and Analyst on Coindesk’s Markets Team. He has been covering Crypto options and Futures, as Well As Macro and Cross-Asset Activity, Since 2019, Leverage His Prior Experience in Directional and Non-Direseal Derivat. His Extensive Background Also Encompasses the FX Markets, Having Served As A Fundamental Analyst at Currency and Commodities Desks for Mumbai-Basted Brokeres and Fxstre. OMKAR HOLDS SMALL AMUNTS OF BITCOIN, Ether, Bittorrent, Tron and Dot.

Omkar Holds A Master’s Degree in Finance and A Charterred Market Technician (CMT) Designation.

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Watch Out for Potential Bitcoin Double Top As Bulls Fail to Break $ 122k Again

BTC HAS RECENTLY PUT IN TWIN PEAKS ABOVE $ 122K. (Lin2015/Pixabay)A ConfirMed Double Top Breakdown Could Bring A Re-Test of $ 100,000.

What to Know:

  • Bitcoin’s Rally Has Stalled, Forming A Potentilly Bearish Double Top Pattern.
  • A Failure to Sustain Gains Above $ 122,000 Suggests Buyer Exhaustion Ahead of the US CPI Release.
  • A ConfirMed Double Top Breakdown Cold Lead to All-Off, with A Potential for A Drop To $ 100,000.

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