August 2, 2025
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The National Bank predicts refugee return not earlier than 2027

The National Bank of Ukraine expects that the pure outflow of migrants from the country will be about 200,000. People will continue to leave for two more years. This is stated in the National Bank’s inflation report. As expected, in 2026, migrants will continue at the same time (about 200 thousand). The NBU expects a pure return will only start in”, – WRITE ON: ua.news

The National Bank of Ukraine expects that the pure outflow of migrants from the country will be about 200,000. People will continue to leave for two more years.

This is stated in the inflationary report National Bank.

As expected, in 2026, migrants will continue at the same time (about 200 thousand).

At the same time, the NBU expects that the pure return will only begin in 2027 (about 100 thousand, in the previous forecast – 500 thousand people).

The reasons for migration from Ukraine are the preservation of high security risks, including the shelling of Russia throughout Ukraine and terrorist attacks against civilians. Adaptation of Ukrainians to life abroad has also increased.

In addition, the extension of the timing of staying in the European Union and/or switching to the steel regimes with a high probability will restrain the active return of migrants.

Recall that after several years of staying in Sweden, more than 10,000 Ukrainian refugees signed a petition demanding not to return home. They also demand facilitating access to Sweden for their relatives – among other things.

European Union in June will continue Another year temporary protection for refugees from Ukraine but it will last.

Earlier, we wrote that millions of Ukrainian refugees in the EU may be at risk of losing their legal status, since there is no clear plan that would allow them to stay after ceasefire with Russia.

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