Stop Supply of Weapons from the United States: What is threatening and enough for Ukraine and European

Photo: wikipedia.org

The news that the United States is stopping weapons to Ukraine has stunned as a thunder in the clear sky. After reporting in the White House, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry invited John Ginkel to explain the temporary attorney in Ukraine in Ukraine, and the Ministry of Defense invited an emergency telephone conversation with the Pentagon.

There is no complete and final clarity in the US decision, journalist Briefly about understood how it could influence our country’s ability to resist Russian aggression.

Why do the US stop supply? The official explanation is that the Americans do not have such weapons for their army. One of the White House speakers, Anna Kelly, has officially confirmed the information published in the media that the United States would stop providing Ukraine with missiles for air defense systems and other high -precision ammunition.

“This decision was made to put the interests of America in the first place after considering the national support and assistance of our country to other countries around the world,” said the White House Prescriber.

Unofficial reason – the rejection of Donald Trump’s rockets tries to force Ukraine to capitulate peace with Russia. In his understanding: there will be no rockets – there will be nothing to defend Kiev, and he will have to go to humiliating peace with Russia.

By the way, stopping the supply of weapons has already begun. According to the American edition of Politico, the initial decision to suspend part of the assistance promised by the administration of the previous President Biden was made in early June, but it came into force only now that Ukraine reflects one of the largest Russian missile and drones in civilian facilities in Kiev and other cities.

Without what can Ukraine stay?

• Rockets for air defense. The Armed Forces will not be able to fill in the reserves of missiles for Patriot air defense complexes capable of knocking down Russian ballistic missiles and aerobalistic “daggers”. These ammunition is only produced in the United States. The Armed Forces will quickly face missile shortages, and then they will have to choose which objects to protect and which to leave under the blow, notes The Wall Street Journal.
• Missiles for RSZV. Also, the Ukrainian army will lose controlled missiles for mobile jet installations – tracked MLRS and wheeled Himars. The US supplies two types of ammunition – GMLRS up to 90 km and ATACMS up to 300 km.

Staying without high -precision long -range artillery, the Armed Forces will not be able to strike arms, team points, airfields, landfills and more. The strikes on these objects violate the logistics and supply of the Russian army, for example, the Russians had to move the airfields into the deep rear.

Among the detained weapons are dozens of Patriot-defense missiles, thousands of 155 mm of fugas artillery shells, more than 100 heated hellfire missiles, more than 250 high-precision GMLRS missile systems, AIMLRS missiles.

If we already have a Patriot SCR, then the rocket can only be enough for the end of the summer. Photo: wikipedia.org

Can Europe overwhelm US weapons deficiency? There are two thoughts here – it will not. Major General Christian Freuding, responsible for coordinating the supply of weapons in Germany, believes that Europe, together with Canada, is able to provide Ukraine with the necessary military assistance, even if the United States completely refuses to support Kiev.

According to him, European countries – NATO members – have already exceeded the amount of military assistance provided by the United States last year, which is estimated at about $ 20 billion. They have assumed about 60% of the total expenses incurred by Western allies.

At the same time, he acknowledged that compensation for certain aspects of Ukraine’s military support for America will “create significant challenges for Europe”. The official believes that it will be difficult for Europeans to replace, in particular, US intelligence data, air defense systems such as Patriot, and spare parts for American weapons. Asked how much Ukraine will have the supply of weapons approved by the previous US President Joe Biden, the general replied that it depends on logistics processes, as well as how quickly Ukraine spends weapons and ammunition, but “the end of summer seems realistic.”

In addition, according to Bloomberg, European leaders are considering buying US weapons to supply it to Ukraine if the US has refused further assistance. According to Bloomberg interlocutors, an offer that is gaining more trust is to buy more American systems and then send this weapon to Ukraine.

Finanus, in the presence of political will, Europe will be able to compensate for the cessation of American support, says the analyst of the International Institute for Strategic Studies Francois Haysburg. However, it is not just about money.

Among the weapons that comes from the United States, there are some critical points for the Armed Forces, which will most likely not work, experts say. In Europe, they are produced little or not produced at all.

The American edition of The Wall Street Journal, citing military experts, has previously reported that without the help of the United States, Ukraine will have enough weapons for hostilities at the current pace by the end of the summer of 2025. The so -called “coalition of those who want” European countries is not capable of providing weapons to Kiev in the event of termination of supply by the United States.

According to the King Institute of the World Economy, Ukraine now produces or finances production of about 55% of its military equipment. Another 25% is supplied by Europe and about 20% – the United States. At the same time, some American equipment, including air defense systems, ballistic missiles of the Earth – Earth “and a long -range missile artillery, cannot be replaced.

Sending weapons for Ukraine can stop even if it is already on the way to their destination. Photo: US Department of Defense

How will it affect Ukraine’s defense capability? Ukrainian military expert Alexander Kovalenko Confirms that restrictions on the supply of US weapons is a bad option for Ukraine.

-The absence of Patriot missiles threatens that Ukraine will break more often The new missile defense and strokes will fall under our cities and other facilities. The absence of Himars missiles will affect our high -precision strikes on the front on the rear and enemy structures. And now we must replace them with British and French missiles Storm Shadow and Scalp or our P-360 Neptune. But it is more expensive and completely different, – the expert says.

He notes that the refusal to supply US weapons was quite predictable.

– The fact that Donald Trump would not supply weapons to Ukraine was visible in 2023, when the Trumpist majority in the Republican Party blocked the supply of weapons of Kiev for half a year. We now see that Trump has only given Kiev for the whole period of his cadence, but for a small amount – about $ 50 million. And now the assistance packages that were sent to Ukraine and were still signed by Joseph Biden are being completed. In August, they will be completely exhausted, – says Alexander Kovalenko.

Therefore, Ukraine now needs to rely solely on its resources and assistance in Europe.

– We will be able to receive rockets from other partners, European and other countries that use Patriot. This re -export that is obtained through third countries is quite possible. They can buy them in the US and then transfer to Ukraine. Therefore, we can cope with this situation, – explains the expert.

Read in The New York Times:

“Although it is not quite clear what weapon was included (on the list of weapons, the supply of which will be suspended) and when the pause is noticeable on the battlefield, the signal seems obvious: Washington leaves the war.”

Source: kp.ua