“In mid -June, serious fluctuations in the foreign exchange market are not expected. The “managed flexibility” mode will work stable: the hryvnia will fluctuate within minor changes, and the NBU interventions at the level of $ 600-800 million a week will remain sufficient. The Ministry of Economy predicts the rate of 43.7 UAH/USD. At the end of the year, while in the state budget – 45 UAH/USD. About expectations on”, – WRITE ON: ua.news
In mid -June, serious fluctuations in the foreign exchange market are not expected. The “managed flexibility” mode will work steadily: the hryvnia will fluctuate within minor changes and the NBU interventions at the level $ 600-800 million It will remain sufficient for a week. The Ministry of Economy predicts the course 43.7 UAH/USD . at the end of the year, while in the state budget – 45 UAH/USD .
About expectations in the foreign exchange market of Ukraine told Taras Lesovy, Head of the Treasury Department of one of Ukrainian banks in a comment Invest News.
Ekspert believes that There is no serious upheaval in the foreign exchange market in mid -June. The “managed flexibility” mode will continue to work almost imperceptibly: the course will fluctuate on both sides rather small steps. Demand for currency is likely to be adequate, so the National Bank will not need to increase the volume of interventions – approximately $ 600-800 million a week and will be enough.
Given the “muted” rise in prices and stability on the interbank, the revival of the “cache” segment is not predicted. Moreover, the difference between cash quotations and interbank quotes is likely to remain minimal.
As for the euro, the market expects a ratio of 1 € = $ 1,10-15. In other words, the processes remain inertial and the changes are moderate.
The Ministry of Economy, I would like to remind you, at the end of the year the rate of 43.7 UAH/$. The state budget has an average level of 45 UAH/$. Such a discrepancy in the forecasts only emphasizes the presence of uncertain factors capable of affecting the economy (and therefore on currency).
The main expression of the foreign exchange market from 9 to 15 June:
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Currency changes corridors: 41.6-41.9 UAH / $ and 45.5-47 UAH / € (on the interbank) and 41.6-41.8 UAH / $ and 445.5-47 UAH / € (in the cash market).
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Daily course changes: to 0.05-0.15 UAH (interbank), to 0.1-0.2 UAH (Kombank), to 0.3 UAH (exchange offices).
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The difference between buying and selling courses: up to 0.15 UAH for $ 1, up to 0.2 UAH per € 1 (interbank), up to 0.5-0.6 UAH per $ 1, up to 0.8-1 UAH per € 1 (Kombank), up to 0.6-1 UAH per $ 1, up to 1-1.3 UAH per € 1 (exchange offices).
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Difference of buying on cash market: 0.2-0.3 UAH for $ 1, 0.3-0.5 for € 1 (Kombank), 0.3-0.5 UAH for $ 1, 0.5-0.7 for € 1 (exchange offices).
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Difference of sales on cash market: 0.1-0.2 UAH for $ 1, 0.2-0.3 UAH for € 1 (Kombank), 0.3-0.5 UAH for $ 1, up to 0.5 UAH for € 1 (exchange offices).
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Depending on the currency, the average difference between interbank and cash market rates – 0 UAH.
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Average weekly course deviations – to 1-1.5% from the initial course of the week.
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It should be reminded that in Ukraine there is a decrease in the exchange rate of the main currencies – the dollar and the euro fell in the interbank market and in the exchange offices.
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The US dollar has fallen to a minimum level in the last one and a half months, giving way to the main world currencies.
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We also reported that Ukraine will receive an additional $ 84 million funding from the World Bank by a housing recovery project that has been agreed as a result of Russian military aggression.
