“Without significant US military support, Ukraine threatens the collapse of the front in the long run.”, – WRITE: www.unian.ua
Without significant US military support, Ukraine threatens the collapse of the front in the long run.
At least next year, the fighting will continue, and then Ukraine can “sprinkle” / photo of facebook.com/generalstaff.uaThe behavior of the Russians in Istanbul showed that the Kremlin does not intend to negotiate peace. Therefore, the war will last for several years, if the United States does not change the balance of strength sharply in favor of Ukraine by its actions. About it writes the Kiev correspondent of the British edition of The Guardian Peter Beamond after communicating with several Ukrainian officials.
“The Russians cannot destroy us and we cannot liberate the territory. Without the US it is impossible to change the balance. [І з часом] This will shift the balance to the side of Russia. We will still live, but we will pay a huge price, ” – told him a high -ranking Ukrainian official who wished to remain unnamed.
In their findings, Ukrainians refer to Russian delegates during negotiations in Istanbul – their maximalist territorial requirements and threats with eternal war.
Ukrainian officials are convinced that even if the negotiation process continues in some format, Kiev and Moscow are still very far in their positions about a number of key issues – those that determine the actual sovereignty of Ukraine.
“Number [української] The armies will be limited by economic reasons. Neutrality [якого вимагає Росія] – This is a question of formulations. But we cannot agree to cancel the connection with the West, “said The Guardian.
People’s Deputy Oleksandr Merezhko, chairman of the Committee on International Affairs, noted that the current reality is that Kiev is forced to fight for the commitment of Donald Trump, who at best shows indifference to Ukraine.
“We are playing, we try to do our best because we do not want to lose the support of the United States. We do not want us to be accused of this (the failure of the negotiation – UNIAN) is our fault,” he said.
Former Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Anna Malyar notes that Putin and Trump are looking at the war and peace talks completely differently. In her opinion, the Russian dictator has a strategic goal – to fully occupy the whole territory of Ukraine, while Trump thinks of business categories and believes in the opportunity to conclude an agreement that will benefit everyone.
All this convinced the painter that the most likely development of events is the continuation of active fighting in the long -term perspective.
“If you ask about the chances, I would say that there is 90% likelihood that this war will last one or two years,” she said.
The danger that many aware is that in the conditions of a long exhausting war, having less resources than Russia, and having lost most US military support, Ukraine risks strategic defeat.
“The exhaustion war is similar to a plateau with a break at the end. This breakage is a collapse of the front line. It is impossible to say when it happens. But we need to move forward to the future. To prevent it, we need to rationalize our military efforts, become more effective,” said the unnamed Ukrainian high -ranking official.
Negotiations in Istanbul: Last ReactionsAs UNIAN wrote, after the failure of the negotiations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation in Turkey, a group of US senators called on Congress to adopt a two -party bill on the imposition of new sanctions against Russia. It is a law that provides for the introduction of 500% of duties on imports to the USA goods from countries that continue to buy Russian energy.
British sociologist Lord Eshchroft noted that last week Putin had been driven to a dead end for the first time in a long time, but Trump did not show a proper response to Moscow’s trick with a “clown” delegation. Meanwhile, the US President has all the levers to influence the Kremlin.
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