“The US stock markets continue to fall against the background of the threat of recession and harsh economic policy of Donald Trump. Investors bring capital, the richest people in the world lose billions, and growth prospects remain uncertain. Is the US economy really moving to the crisis? Says Capital Times Director Artem Shcherbin. We are looking for 250 small and medium -sized businesses that change the rules of the game. If yours […]”, – WRITE: Businessua.com.ua
The US stock markets continue to fall against the background of the threat of recession and harsh economic policy of Donald Trump. Investors withdraw capital, the richest people of the world They lose billions, and growth prospects remain uncertain. Is the US economy really moving to the crisis? Says Capital Times Director Artem Shcherbin.
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On March 10-11, the US stock market has fallen by 3.5% due to the increasing risks of recession, caused by the fierce economic policy of the Donald Trump administration. This fall has continued the negative trend: since mid -February, the cost of US companies has decreased by 8.4%.
The media talked about tremendous losses for the richest people in the world, their wealth has decreased by hundreds of billion dollars.
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But is the situation in the global investment market so critical? And what is the further dynamics of stock markets?
The flow of negative news and investment climate The fall in the index S&P 500 began on February 21 after the quarterly report was published WalmartIn which the retailer sharply reduced the forecast for future periods due to a decrease in consumer activity and an average check.
An additional negative factor was the report of The University of Michigan, which recorded a sharp decline in Americans’ confidence in the future because of Donald Trump’s inflation risks and tariff policy.
The situation was exacerbated by Trump’s further statements: he announced new tariffs for goods from Canada, Mexico and China, as well as threatened with increased duties for European imports.
In parallel, Ilon Musk continued mass release in state structures, and Finance Minister Scott Bessent acknowledged the possibility of recession and called for a decrease in interest rates.
Such a flow of negative news has undermined the investment climate, and the US stock market returned to the level of mid -2024.
In parallel, the cost of cryptocurrencies – the expected cryptocurrency reforms in the United States have yet been loud with Trump’s loud speeches. But the new administration is not possible for specific actions.
Dynamics of key stock indexes in 2025 Photo Capital Times
An alternative to US stock market Investors are reviewing the prospects of both the US economy and individual market sectors.
The semiconductor market, which was the main driver of growth in 2024, demonstrates signs of slowdown. The latest NVIDIA report indicates that the sector has reached the peak of efficiency due to production capacity shortages. The demand for new generation processors remains high, but the overall dynamics slows down.
Additional pressure creates increased competition from China, where companies have begun to be actively dumping in the field of artificial intelligence, opening their development in Open Source format. As a result, investment funds focused on the semiconductor sector have lost 11%since the beginning of 2025.
Traditional sectors, such as FMCG, health care and real estate, demonstrate stability and even growth. European and Chinese companies generally ahead of the market: index Stoxx 600 increased by 6% from the beginning of the year, and Alibaba shares – by 60%.
This is the result of asset rebalancing: large funds and investors come from a revalued US market in favor of underestimated companies in other regions. In other words, they are betting on the growth of stock markets, but not in the US.
Due to the uncertainty about Trump’s new tariffs and the possible relevant actions of China and the EU, the stock markets will remain unstable. In such a situation, US bonds are an alternative to shares, and the gold that is traded near historical maxima is the interest of investors.
So far, neither in the US nor in Europe there are no signs of crisis. However, the stock market always responds to threats first. 2025 promises to be difficult for investors, so you should keep your hand on the pulse of events.
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