British intelligence analyzed the state of economy in

Inflation pressure makes it extremely likely that Russia will spend more than planned in the budget for 2025, writes In the new report on March 3, UK intelligence.

According to intelligence, inflation in Russia will exceed the target of the Central Bank of Russia (CBD) in 4% in 2025. This will happen despite the efforts of CBD to reduce inflation by increasing interest rates from 7.5% in June 2023 to 21% in December 2024. The actual inflation rate in 2024 was probably higher than the officially stated data.

“Business pressure will almost certainly increase if interest rates remain high in 2025. The vast majority of corporate defaults will probably occur in civilian industries, which will further increase the dependence of economic activity on the military-industrial complex, ”the post reads.

In January, the Institute of War Study (ISW) reported that the Kremlin launched an information operation For the sake of creating false impressionsI am that the Russian economy is working well, despite numerous indicators of macroeconomic problems.

Recently, the Kremlin has approved a policy aimed at increasing defense expenses, while Russian society faces a lack of labor, demographic problems, a decrease in savings and increasing dependence on assistance, since the Russian economy works with increasing interest rates, over -the -eating. The fact that Russia’s economy is developing well, they are not true, add to the Institute of War.

In October last year The World Bank predicted, What In Russia, due to more rigid monetary policy and “stronger restrictions on production capacity and labor resources”, slowing down the growth of the economy from 3.6% in 2023 to 3.2% of 2024 and 1.6% – 2025 – is expected to slow down.