“According to the Institute of War Study (ISW), the monthly call to the Russian army is probably equal to or is lower than the amount required to replace Russia’s monthly losses in the war against Ukraine.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua
According to the Institute of War Study (ISW), the monthly call to the Russian army is probably equal to or is lower than the amount required to replace Russia’s monthly losses in the war against Ukraine.
Source: Isw
Details: Analysts note that Russian officials continue to justify the Kremlin’s decision not to make a forced call to the reserve at this time, despite the signs that the Russian army is trying to gain enough new personnel to replace high losses.
The chairman of the Committee on Defense of the State Duma of Russia Andriy Kartapolov declared on February 4 that Russia does not need to carry out another partial compulsory conscription, since Russia now has a “advantage on the battlefield”.
Member of the State Duma Defense Committee Viktor Sobolev added that 740 000 persons signed contracts for military service in the Russian army – probably since the beginning of a full -scale invasion of Russia in Ukraine in 2022 – and stated that the mobilization “would only aggravate the situation” because it would only people without prior military experience or specialized skills.
The first deputy chairman of the State Duma Committee on Defense Andriy Krasov also stated that mobilization is not needed, since Russian military commissioners are allegedly successfully recruiting new staff.
Experts suggest that these deputies of the Russian Duma are convinced that Russian calls are sufficient to reassure the fears of the Russian public with respect to a widely unpopular potential new partial unfavorable conscription.
However, they add in the report, the Russian military may have difficulty with a set of enough new servicemen.
Literally: “At the end of 2024 and in January 2025, ISW received a report that the monthly conscription for the Russian army is probably equal to or is lower than the amount required to replace Russia’s monthly losses to each other.
ISW also received a report that individual Russian subjects of the Federation cannot fulfill their monthly quotas on the call, since citizens are less willing to fight volunteers. ”
Details: On February 3, the Ministry of Defense of Russia proposed a project of amendments that provide a change in the classification of certain diseases, diseases and disorders of servicemen who are serving, as well as those who enter into contracts for conscription.
The Ministry of Defense of Russia proposed to retrade syphilis, hypertension, atrophic disorders of the central nervous system, skin diseases, schizophrenia, psychotic disorders, affective disorders and other health problems for lighter ailments that do not deprive the right to serve in the army.
Key conclusions ISW for February 4:
- The CEO of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Raphael Marianne Grossi visited the electrical substation in the Kiev region on February 4 to evaluate its damage, as Russian blows from a great distance through energy infrastructure continue to threaten Ukrainian nuclear power plants and energy production capabilities in Ukraine.
- Russian officials continue to justify the Kremlin’s decision not to make a compulsory conscription, despite the signs that the Russian military is fighting for attracting sufficient new personnel that would replace high losses.
- The Russian occupation authorities continue to discuss the possible illegal occupation of Kharkiv region, but claims that in September 2022, the counter -offensive of Ukraine in the Kharkiv region destroyed Russia’s plans for holding a “referendum” in the region at that time.
- A considerable number of Russian vessels who have been in Tartus’s port in recent weeks may have left Syria and returned to Russia, as Russian-Syrian negotiations on Russia’s further access to their databases in Syria are ongoing.
- The strikes of Ukrainian drones probably forced Russia to dramatically change the routes of Russian ships between Russia and Syria.
- It is reported that Russia also uses vessels belonging to the Defense Defense Company, to monitor NATO vessels in the Baltic Sea.
- Recently, Russian troops advanced near Kupyansk.
- The Russian blogger associated with the Kremlin claims that Russian troops continue to deal with systemic problems in the Seversky direction, and field commanders are submitting false reports on progress, despite recent changes in the command.