“Analysts suggest that the Russian command seems to be concerned about the speed or sequence of its promotion in Ukraine”, – WRITE: www.radiosvoboda.org
The report noted that Russian troops are gradually working to displace the Ukrainian troops from the eastern bank of the Oskil River from the winter of 2023-2024, the Kupyansk surroundings will almost certainly be a long-month effort that will require the forces of the Russian Federation to close the gap of 25-30 kilometers wide , as well as to force the Oskyl River and maintain its logistics, capture small settlements that will happen on the way.
Analysts suggest that the Russian command does not seem to be concerned about the speed or sequence of its promotion in Ukraine, probably because it believes that the war will continue until Russia defends Ukraine in a war sense.
According to ISW observations, Russian troops seem to develop and spread the doctrinal method of attack throughout the front, which is to slowly capture the frontier cities and settlements on a scale sufficient to ensure that Russian troops can complete the operation before its climax.
But Russia’s ability to continue the slow surroundings of settlements in the medium -term and long term depends on its ability to provide a large number of personnel and material means necessary to maintain these operations, state analytics of the Institute of War Study.
The President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin calls a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation. Initially, its purpose was determined by “demilitarization and denacification”, later – “protection of Donbass”. And in September and early October, Russia attempted to annex partially occupied Zaporizhzhya, Kherson, Donetsk and Lugansk regions. Ukraine and the West stated that these actions were illegal. On October 12, the UN General Assembly approved a resolution condemning the annexation of the Russian Federation of the occupied territories of Ukraine.
The Russian authorities declare that the army does not attack civilian objects. At the same time, Russian aircraft, missile troops, fleet and artillery are fired daily by Ukrainian cities. Residential buildings and objects of civil infrastructure throughout Ukraine are being destroyed.
At the end of October, Ukraine estimated Russia’s losses in the war of over 70,000 dead military. In September, Russia stated that its losses are smaller than 6 thousand dead. In June, President Zelensky appreciated the ratio of losses of Ukraine and Russia as one to five.
Without overcoming the resistance of the Armed Forces, the surviving Russian units in early April left the territory of Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions. And in September, the Army of Ukraine, as a result of the lightning counter -offensive, released almost all of the occupied part of Kharkiv region.
On November 11, the Ukrainian defense forces displaced Russian forces from Kherson.
After the liberation of the Kyiv region from Russian troops in the cities of Bucha, Irpin, Gostomel and villages of the region revealed the facts of massacres, torture and rape of civilians, including children.
The Ukrainian authorities have stated that Russia is doing genocide. The West countries are involved in confirming the facts of massacres and investigations. The Russian Federation rejects accusations of committing war crimes.
Later, the facts of torture and killings of Ukrainian citizens began to open in almost all settlements that were released from the Russian occupation. In particular, in Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Kherson.
Since September 2022, fierce battles of the Russian-Ukrainian war are coming in the east and southern Ukraine.
On June 6, 2023, the Dam of the Kakhovka Reservoir was completely destroyed (it was controlled by the Russian army since the beginning of March 2022, and in October it was replaced by the occupiers), which led to flooding of large territory, human casualties, the destruction of agricultural land, the pollution of the Dnieper and the Black Sea. Ukraine called it an ecocid.
In total, during the full -haired war of February 24, 2022 to the end of June 2024, the UN verified data on at least 33,878 victims of civilians, including 11 284 dead.
The real amount of losses, experts say, is much higher. Only during the blockade and bombing of Mariupol, according to the Ukrainian authorities, could more than 20 thousand people die.