January 31, 2025
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Ukraine News Today

Victory plan. Unmanned version

The value of the life of a citizen of Ukraine for our society is inconsistentially higher than the value of “chomobik” of totalitarian dictatorship. We know it, our enemy knows it and uses it. Our negotiating position depends on how unmanned we can make our war.”, – WRITE: www.pravda.com.ua

The value of the life of a citizen of Ukraine for our society is inconsistentially higher than the value of “chomobik” of totalitarian dictatorship. We know it, our enemy knows it and uses it. Our negotiating position depends on how unmanned we can make our war.

In this text, I will leave the moral-ethical and philosophical aspects of peace with aggressor, unpunished evil, the destruction of the world order and focus on real ways to achieve peace. Peace that can be characterized by quote Marshal Fosha: “This is not a peace. It’s a truce for 20 years.”

The idea that we have a victory for us has changed significantly during the war. At the beginning of a full-scale invasion, it was not only the borders of 1991, but also a buffer demilitarized zone in Russia, but also preferably the collapse of the aggressor country. As of today, we have to accept the sad realities of war, and society is more inclined to the fact that peace and preservation of statehood are a victory, but there is no answer how to achieve it.

It should be understood that the whole civilized world is afraid of the uncontrolled spread of war and its real growth into the third world, so political trends in the direction of de -escalation are very strong.

However, since 2014, the main mistake of de -escalation has been that it was conducted in a false direction. The policy of limiting the intensity of hostilities by inhibition of weapons to Ukraine, as we can see, has led to a gradual growth of the war from the short -term special operation of peacetime troops to a full -scale war of deployed mobilized armies. The chance to burn the Russian military power in the battles of high intensity is not developed quickly and was lost within the borders of Ukraine. At the beginning of a full -scale invasion of the numerical advantage of the Ukrainian army, if it would be combined with a qualitative advantage of Western weapons, it was quite allowed. Unfortunately, this opportunity has been lost because of the inappropriate pace of arms supply and we are now dealing with other reality.

Many analysts agree that Russia has no objective reasons to stop the offensive and conclude a truce on some adequate conditions. Russia has overcome the crisis of the initial period, the rebellion of the Wagnets, has adapted to the new types of Western weapons and is now restructuring society and economics for military rails. They have even managed to avoid chaotic unprepared general mobilization. Today, we can state that their actions are systematic and their overestimated diplomatic requirements are based on these plans and expectations from them.

We can conclude that the key to peace is not in bizarre economic sanctions or diplomatic and legal tricks. The only real factor that can stop the war will be the actual failure of the outdated mass army of Russia to conduct offensive actions on earth.

We can still make a “gift of de -escalation” if we destroy the land offensive potential of the Russian army in a limited territory between the line of fighting and the border of Ukraine.

Next, we will look at the ways that we can achieve such prerequisites that will allow this “diplomatic decision”.

Unfortunately, “1000 rockets in Moscow” is not such a solution, at least because it is not enough. For comparison, in World War II, only British bombers and only to Berlin have dropped about 10,000 times more bombs than to convey 1000 Tomahawk missiles.

The assumption that we can intimidate with our rockets or Deepstrike, I also consider the enemy to intimidate the enemy, and we and our enemy have long passed the “intimidation” stage.

So our negotiation position will be formed mainly in a lane of several tens of kilometers from the line of combat collision, and the better we will learn how to destroy Russia’s military potential here, the better it will be.

I believe that it is the lack of infantry in the Russian army that can be the decisive factor that will lead to the extinction of the intensity of hostilities, the destruction of the capacity of the Land Russian Army, and ultimately to the diplomatic decision of which everyone dreams of.

As of today, it could be said that everything is going well. Russia collects mercenaries throughout the country, teaches, arms and brings to death under Ukrainian guns and drones at a speed of 1600 soldiers a day. The coefficients of the ratio of their losses and losses of the enemy make the honor of the Ukrainian army, what is the crisis here? Why can’t we say that we are going to victory?

The high losses of our best citizens, even with successful operations, are equally defeated, so the key to real victory lies in the radical reduced losses on the fighting line.

Well -known historian Mark Solonin, on the basis of archival documents, estimated that the planned expenses of the Stalin Red Army had to be approximately 10,000 servicemen per day. Today we already know that modern Russian generals have remained with the same cannibal views on their people as Stalin. We even know the books that they have formed these strategic views.

Considering the population ratios, a softer regime and other factors, we can assume that today the losses of 4–5 thousand servicemen per day for Putin Russia are acceptable planned losses that they are ready to pay for their creeping day after day. And we need to learn how to grind this amount of hostile forces with minimal losses for our troops.

The obvious solution to this task is the widespread use of all kinds of unmanned systems and has already been done to fulfill this mission. Our dictionary has already actively included the concept of “kilzon”, which means an area of ​​10-15 kilometers, where the approaching enemy is manifested by our UAVs with intelligence and gradually destroyed by percussion UAV and artillery. However, the density of our kilzone is still not enough to prevent the breakthrough of the enemy’s assault assault groups in the rear areas, so we are forced to keep our infantry in the trenches on the line of combat collision under the bogs and drones.

At the time of writing this column, there is a rapid development of ground robotic complexes, which give us a chance to solve the problem of vulnerability of our infantry. Previously, it was believed that our land is the land where the leg of the Ukrainian infantryman stands, today circumstances demand from us to move to the paradigm that our land is where our combat work is and can fight.

I believe that a key element of our victory plan should be a stable robotic line of combat collision, which with minimal losses for us will grind Russian infantry and its technique. Reinforcements on this line should not come in the form of erected mouths of rear and recruits from BZVP, but in the form of regular parties of robots, which we will lose in battles instead of people.

It is not a secret that the enemy, without overcoming our army with the help of a strategy of “defeat”, tries to undermine our stability and readiness to resist the difficult for us by human losses of the best citizens.

The robotic defense line will negate its efforts and plans and move the confrontation into the economic plane, reduce everything to the strategy of “Ezmora” and indirect actions in which a coalition of developed, democratic and civilized countries always wins the backward of totalitarian regimes.

Unfortunately, not all the components needed to create robotic defense have reached the necessary technical level, especially for combat ground robotic complexes, however, we do not have a different way of conservation of people than to remove them from the most dangerous places of the line of combat collision.

In order to preserve the lives of Ukrainian soldiers and stabilize the front, it is necessary to solve the problem comprehensively to create a powerful unmanned defense line. It is necessary to identify and develop all the technology necessary for this problem. It is necessary to attract appropriate resources to the scale of the problem, which is more than 1000 km of combat line. And most importantly, it is necessary to concentrate the powers and responsibility for the performance of this problem in the hands of one prose management, not to be divided into thousands of offices, none of which is responsible for the end result.

Alexei snee Major of the Armed Forces of Ukraine retired, former Saper Company commander, former officer of the Main Directorate of Unmanned Systems The General Staff of the Armed Forces

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