“The match will take place on January 23 at 12:00 Kyiv time”, — write: sport.ua
Madison Keys
At this major, Keys was not the main American hope, because many believed in the young Goff, who had already finished fighting at the tournament. The American’s good performance in Melbourne cannot be called a sensation, because this is her third semi-final at the Australian major, she did not go further. There was one Slam semifinal in Keys’ career, but it happened at the 2017 US Open, when she lost to compatriot Sloane Stephens.
The American is now in good shape, in the last two meetings she had to show character and endurance, first she was beaten by Yelena Rybakina (7) in three games, and then Elina Svitolina (27).
Keys is an experienced tennis player, she is 29 years old, although it is definitely too early to write her among the veterans. In all matches, the American won over her opponents by the number of winners, which is a clear sign of aggressive tennis. The “side effect” of this style is a large number of unforced errors, in the match against Svitolina they were counted 41, an anti-record for Madison in this tournament.
The status of the match is clearly putting pressure on the American, in the games until the third round, the % of the first serve was 70-80, and with Rybakina and Svitolina it is already 55-60, the same may be the case in the upcoming match.
Getty Images/Global Images Ukraine. Madison Keys Iga Svyontek
Anyone who has seen Svyontek’s pre-match routine should not be surprised why she so confidently destroys opponents in her path. In the last four matches, the Polish player lost no more than three games per game, even Emmy Navarro, ranked eighth.
Using boxing terminology, it seems that Iga is a couple of weight classes higher. Of course, such a strong performance was expected from the athlete, everything is going to the fact that she will play against Sobolenko in the final, although she still needs to make the last step before this match.
Svyontek makes her opponents feel almost like amateurs against her background, in the last four matches Iga has won 100% of her games on her serve, she receives well and has no problems winning when she serves the second ball. It is not clear if such a merciless “Polish machine” can be stopped, so far it has the strongest form in this tournament. The athlete has a lot of strength left, she spent 6 hours on the court in five meetings, and she is 23 years old, recovery should be fast.
Getty Images/Global Images Ukraine. Iga Svyontek Personal meetings
Statistics show that the athletes crossed each other five times, Svyontek won in four cases. If we take only the matches on hard, here everything is not so hopeless for the American woman, the score is 1:1. Last year, the tennis players played twice, the Polish woman confidently won both matches on clay. All face-to-face meetings between rivals ended in two sets.
Forecast
Polka is rightfully considered the favorite, she dominated every match, Keys did not look so bright. You can bet on Sventek with a coefficient of 1.18, and on the American woman they give 5.3. I think Iga will make it to the finals, and she will do it confidently, there should be a psychological advantage on her side, given the history of face-to-face meetings. However, Keys is doing well with her forehand and serve and will take her 6 games. Handicap +6 on Keys for 1.62.
Madison Keys 23.01.2025 –
12:00
Iga Svyontek