“August saw a 4.7% decline in new home sales, falling short of expectations. Yet, a notable 9.8% year-over-year increase suggests long-term growth.”, — write: www.fxempire.com
Inventory and Supply At the end of August 2024, there were approximately 467,000 new homes on the market, representing a 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace. This indicates a relatively balanced market in terms of supply and demand, as a six-month supply is generally considered healthy. However, with sales slowing from the prior month, it suggests a potential buildup of inventory that could pressure future pricing if demand doesn’t rebound.
Market Forecast: Slightly Bearish Outlook Given the month-over-month decline and higher-than-expected inventory levels, the outlook for the new home sales market leans bearish in the short term. The 4.7% drop from July, coupled with the rising inventory, suggests some cooling off in demand, which could impact pricing and sales volume in the coming months. However, the solid year-over-year growth hints that the market’s longer-term trend remains positive.