June 14, 2024
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Ukraine News Today

US permits to strike Russia reduced the aggressor’s “untouchable territory” by 16% – ISW

Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) estimated that the limited permission to hit targets in Russia with provided weapons reduced the area of ​​the aggressor’s safe space by 16 percent. Source: ISW Details: Limited policy changes by the Biden administration that allowed Ukraine to use US-provided weapons to attack some Russian military facilities in a small area of ​​Russian territory, which is only 16 percent.”, — write: www.pravda.com.ua

Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) estimated that the limited permission to hit targets in Russia with provided weapons reduced the area of ​​the aggressor’s safe space by 16 percent.

Source: ISW

Details: Limited policy changes by the Biden administration that allowed Ukraine to use US-provided weapons to strike some Russian military facilities in a small area of ​​Russian territory, which is only 16 percent.

States are limiting the use of Ukraine-provided weapons to launch larger-scale strikes on Russian territory within the range of ATACMS provided to Ukraine.

“US policy still protects the vast majority of Russia’s operational rear and deep rear, and US policy prohibits Ukraine from using ATACMS anywhere in Russia,” the report said.

Experts point out that the US authorization has actually created a fairly large area in which the Defense Forces have the right to strike with Western weapons. At the same time, some restrictions on the types of American weapons have narrowed the ability of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to strike in areas far from the border with Ukraine, which Russia uses to cover its own combat forces, administrative bodies, logistics and rear support.

Analysts point out that the US permission to strike Russian territory with American weapons to hit some military facilities on a small section of the Ukrainian-Russian border has reduced the size of Russian land “intact” territory by a maximum of 16%.

However, US policy allows the aggressor to retain at least 84% of ground defense, since Ukraine is prohibited from using anti-aircraft missile systems on the rest of Russia’s territory, which protects the vast majority of its operational and deep rear.

ISW analysts assume that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can hit all legitimate military targets within the range of multiple rocket launchers (RSMS) in the Belgorod, Kursk, and Bryansk regions. However, the report adds, it is not a fact that the Defense Forces have permission for this. High-ranking US officials allowed Ukraine to strike Russian territory with counter-battery-fired MLRS, but geographically limited such attacks to the border area with the Kharkiv region.

In fact, the Armed Forces have the right to strike Russian military facilities “located directly along the Ukrainian border.” Instead, the Defense Forces cannot strike Russian military targets further in the rear or in other areas of the Kursk and Bryansk regions, which are also within the range of the MLRS.

Statements by American officials also indicate that Ukrainian forces may be limited in their ability to strike Russian military targets that do not actively participate in ground attacks and strikes against Ukraine.

Thus, says the ISW, the reduction of the area of ​​safe space in Russia may be less than 16 percent.

ISW key findings for June 9:

  • It is likely that Ukrainian forces struck a Russian Su-57 fighter jet at the Akhtubinsk airfield in the Astrakhan region.
  • Ukrainian forces may have struck a large Russian amphibious assault ship or patrol boat in Yeysk, Krasnodar Territory, on the night of June 8-9.
  • The Kremlin’s concerted efforts to remove and arrest senior officials of the Russian Defense Ministry may also extend to civilian officials of regional administrations.
  • The pro-Kremlin Moldovan electoral bloc Peremoga held its second congress in Moscow on June 9, following a series of meetings between pro-Kremlin Moldovan opposition politicians and Russian officials from June 6 to 9.
  • The former pro-Russian president of Moldova and current head of the Moldovan Socialist Party, Ihor Dodon, gave an interview on June 9 to the Russian propaganda agencies TASS and RIA Novosti, in which he promoted several well-known Kremlin narratives directed against the current Moldovan government – many of which were also promoted by Moldovan opposition politicians congress of the “Victory” bloc.
  • The Kremlin is likely to try to use its ties to Dodon as part of its broader efforts to destabilize Moldovan democracy and influence the Moldovan government.
  • Russian troops have recently advanced near Kupyansk, Siversk, Chasovoy Yar, Avdiivka and Donetsk.
  • Russian officials continue to force migrants into military service.

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