“Rising active addresses and tightening volatility indicate an impending directional move, with $0.16 as a critical breakout threshold.”, — write: www.coindesk.com
Rising active addresses and tightening volatility indicate an impending directional move, with $0.16 as a critical breakout threshold.Updated Dec 9, 2025, 4:29 am Published Dec 9, 2025, 4:29 am
(CoinDesk Data)
What to know:
- Dogecoin marked its 12th anniversary, but market reactions were muted, focusing instead on technical patterns and network activity.
- The token consolidated within a tight range, with active buying interest at the lower boundary and potential for a bullish breakout.
- Rising active addresses and tightening volatility indicate an impending directional move, with $0.16 as a critical breakout threshold.
Memecoin posts modest advance with elevated trading activity while technical patterns signal consolidation near key support.
News Background
- Dogecoin marked its 12th anniversary on December 6, twelve years after creators Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer introduced the meme-token that would later evolve into a major crypto asset supported by persistent community engagement.
- Despite the milestone, the market reaction was muted, with trading driven instead by technical structure and network activity.
- On-chain data showed daily active addresses reaching 67,511 on December 3 — the second-highest level in three months — underscoring renewed user participation even as price action remains contained.
Technical Analysis
- DOGE spent the session consolidating within a tight $0.1406–$0.1450 band, forming a compression structure designed to resolve into a broader move.
The token bounced from $0.14 support three separate times, showing active buying interest at the lower boundary of the range. - Each rejection of deeper downside came with declining sell volume, a constructive signal for potential upside resolution.
- Hourly charts revealed a notable volatility pocket around 03:19–03:22 GMT, where the price dipped to $0.1405 before recovering, reinforcing an ascending intraday support line.
- MACD curves continue to converge towards a bullish cross, while range contraction and higher lows hint at an early-stage accumulation pattern rather than distribution.
Price Action Summary
- DOGE advanced from $0.1405 to $0.14155 in a controlled 0.81% gain.
Volume jumped 16.96% above weekly averages, with a notable 465.9M spike (+68% vs 24-hour SMA) at 01:00 GMT confirming institutional interest around range lows. - The token maintained a stable structure despite multiple tests of $0.140–$0.141, while resistance at $0.145 remained unchallenged during the session.
What Traders Should Know
- The consolidation setup is nearing resolution, with $0.16 identified as the critical breakout threshold that would transition DOGE from range-bound action into a trend continuation phase.
- Failure to hold $0.14 risks sending price towards deeper on-chain support near $0.081, as flagged by UTXO realized distribution clusters.
- The combination of rising active addresses and tightening volatility suggests a directional move is approaching.
- Traders should watch for volume expansion above $0.145 or below $0.140 as the likely trigger for the next leg.
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